4.4 Fuzzy Case-based Prediction of Cloud Ceiling and Visibility

نویسندگان

  • Bjarne K. Hansen
  • Denis Riordan
چکیده

Fuzzy logic and case-based reasoning are leading methodologies for the application of artificial intelligence. We describe a system, WIND-1, that combines fuzzy logic and casebased reasoning to produce forecasts of airport cloud ceiling and visibility. Knowledge about meteorological and temporal features that experienced forecasters use to construct analogous climatological scenarios is encoded in a fuzzy similarity measure. The fuzzy similarity measure is used to locate k-nearest neighbors from airports' historical databases. These nearest neighbors are adapted to produce values of forecast parameters. Experiments show that the WIND-1 system produces highly accurate forecasts. It takes about one second for WIND-1 to produce a forecast.

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تاریخ انتشار 2002